Evaluación de vulnerabilidad del puente Chamelecon mediante el protocolo PIEVC posterior a los fenomenos climatologicos de Eta e Iota
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Universidad Tecnológica Centroamericana UNITEC
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Honduras enfrenta una elevada vulnerabilidad ante eventos climáticos extremos, debido a su
ubicación, evidencia de esto la impactante llegada de los huracanes ETA e IOTA en 2020. El CCPE
y CICH, implementaron el protocolo PIEVC en cuatro puentes hondureños. Este mismo protocolo
se utilizó para evaluar la vulnerabilidad del puente Chamelecón tras los huracanes, con el
propósito de proporcionar datos confiables y fortalecer la resiliencia ante los efectos adversos del
cambio climático. Con el fin de puntuar y categorizar el riesgo según la escala del umbral de
tolerancia PIEVC en la que se posiciona el Puente Chamelecón ante el análisis de eventos
climatológicos como Huracanes y Tormentas Tropicales se planteó aplicar el protocolo PIEVC para
resolver la incertidumbre si el puente es vulnerable ante este tipo de fenómenos. Asimismo, se
obtuvo la probabilidad de ocurrencia para eventos como Huracanes y Tormentas Tropicales
asociada a la vulnerabilidad del Puente Chamelecón para estimar la constancia de cada evento.
La puntuación que se le otorgó al Puente Chamelecón según la escala del umbral de tolerancia
PIEVC en la que se posiciona el Puente Chamelecón ante el análisis de eventos climatológicos
para Huracanes es de 6.32 puntos que está por debajo de los 12 puntos, por ende, representa un
nivel bajo y para Tormentas Tropicales la puntuación es de 4.49 representando un nivel nulo de
riesgo. Se determinó que la probabilidad de ocurrencia para eventos de categoría de Huracanes
es del 12% (6 en 50) y para Tormentas Tropicales del 8% (4 en 50)
Honduras grapples with heightened vulnerability to extreme climatic events, a consequence of its geographical location, exemplified by the impactful arrival of hurricanes ETA and IOTA in 2020 Canadian Council of Professional Engineers (CCPE) and the Civil Engineers College of Honduras (CICH) executed the Protocol for the Infrastructure and Engineering Vulnerability Committee (PIEVC) on four Honduran bridges. This same protocol was applied to assess the vulnerability of the Chamelecón Bridge post-hurricanes, aiming to furnish reliable data and enhance resilience against the adverse effects of climate change. In an effort to score and categorize risk according to the PIEVC tolerance threshold scale, the analysis of climatological events such as hurricanes and tropical storms positioned the Chamelecón Bridge. The application of the PIEVC protocol was proposed to dispel uncertainties regarding the bridge's vulnerability to these phenomena. Furthermore, the probability of occurrence for events like hurricanes and tropical storms, coupled with the vulnerability of the Chamelecón Bridge, was determined to estimate the frequency of each event. The Chamelecón Bridge scored 6.32 points on the PIEVC tolerance threshold scale for hurricane analysis, falling below the 12-point threshold, indicating a low level of risk. For tropical storms, the bridge received a score of 4.49, representing a negligible risk level. And at last the probability of occurrence for hurricane events was determined to be 12% (6 out of 50), while for tropical storms, it stood at 8% (4 out of 50).
Honduras grapples with heightened vulnerability to extreme climatic events, a consequence of its geographical location, exemplified by the impactful arrival of hurricanes ETA and IOTA in 2020 Canadian Council of Professional Engineers (CCPE) and the Civil Engineers College of Honduras (CICH) executed the Protocol for the Infrastructure and Engineering Vulnerability Committee (PIEVC) on four Honduran bridges. This same protocol was applied to assess the vulnerability of the Chamelecón Bridge post-hurricanes, aiming to furnish reliable data and enhance resilience against the adverse effects of climate change. In an effort to score and categorize risk according to the PIEVC tolerance threshold scale, the analysis of climatological events such as hurricanes and tropical storms positioned the Chamelecón Bridge. The application of the PIEVC protocol was proposed to dispel uncertainties regarding the bridge's vulnerability to these phenomena. Furthermore, the probability of occurrence for events like hurricanes and tropical storms, coupled with the vulnerability of the Chamelecón Bridge, was determined to estimate the frequency of each event. The Chamelecón Bridge scored 6.32 points on the PIEVC tolerance threshold scale for hurricane analysis, falling below the 12-point threshold, indicating a low level of risk. For tropical storms, the bridge received a score of 4.49, representing a negligible risk level. And at last the probability of occurrence for hurricane events was determined to be 12% (6 out of 50), while for tropical storms, it stood at 8% (4 out of 50).